Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hallescher 2-3 St Pauli
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hacken 1-2 Heidenheim
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
We said: St Pauli 1-3 Heidenheim
Given the uncertainty surrounding St Pauli since the departure of Hurzeler, it would not be surprising if the hosts dropped points in their opening game of the campaign. Additionally, Heidenheim come into Sunday's clash off the back of a confidence-boosting win in the Conference League qualifiers, and they should be favourites this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Heidenheim |
52.79% ( -0.29) | 23.63% ( 0.22) | 23.58% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
