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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 34.94% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.39%).
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
40.54% ( 0.58) | 24.51% ( 0.22) | 34.94% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% ( -1.15) | 43.6% ( 1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34% ( -1.14) | 66% ( 1.14) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( -0.22) | 21.55% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( -0.33) | 54.62% ( 0.34) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% ( -0.97) | 24.45% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% ( -1.39) | 58.89% ( 1.39) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.54% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |