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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.82% ( 0.4) | 24.05% ( 0.1) | 27.13% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( -0.81) | 45% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( -0.79) | 67.35% ( 0.79) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.47% ( -0.16) | 18.53% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% ( -0.27) | 49.77% ( 0.27) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.78% ( -0.79) | 30.22% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.62% ( -0.96) | 66.38% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.39% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |