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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
30.36% ( 0.45) | 24.46% ( -0.2) | 45.19% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 57.71% ( 0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% ( 1.11) | 44.88% ( -1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.76% ( 1.06) | 67.23% ( -1.06) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( 0.86) | 27.87% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( 1.09) | 63.48% ( -1.09) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.02% ( 0.34) | 19.98% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.84% ( 0.55) | 52.16% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |