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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
75.09% ( -0.22) | 15.99% ( 0.11) | 8.92% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 45.19% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.26% ( -0.19) | 40.74% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.88% ( -0.19) | 63.12% ( 0.19) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.77% ( -0.1) | 9.23% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.78% ( -0.24) | 31.22% ( 0.23) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.78% ( 0.1) | 50.22% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.19% ( 0.07) | 84.81% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 75.08% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.99% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 8.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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