Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
52.99% ( -0.2) | 25.65% ( 0.23) | 21.36% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.91% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.56% ( -0.86) | 56.44% ( 0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% ( -0.7) | 77.44% ( 0.69) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.64% ( -0.43) | 21.35% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.68% ( -0.67) | 54.32% ( 0.67) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.37% ( -0.52) | 41.63% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.89% ( -0.46) | 78.11% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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