Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
27.5% ( -0.11) | 26.66% ( 0.1) | 45.84% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% ( -0.44) | 55.47% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% ( -0.36) | 76.65% ( 0.36) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.54% ( -0.32) | 35.46% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.78% ( -0.34) | 72.23% ( 0.34) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( -0.19) | 24.14% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( -0.27) | 58.45% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
16 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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