Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
30.25% ( -0.21) | 28.03% ( -0.02) | 41.72% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.72% ( -0.01) | 59.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.31% ( -0.01) | 79.68% ( 0.01) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( -0.17) | 35.36% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( -0.17) | 72.12% ( 0.17) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% ( 0.12) | 28.01% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( 0.15) | 63.65% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.25% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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