Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 1-0 (6.52%).
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
20.21% ( 0.04) | 23.69% ( 0.03) | 56.09% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% ( -0.07) | 50.31% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.74% ( -0.06) | 72.25% ( 0.06) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% ( 0.01) | 39.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.98% ( 0.01) | 76.02% ( -0.01) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( -0.05) | 17.76% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.54% ( -0.09) | 48.46% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 20.21% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 56.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 |
3 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
4 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
5 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Casa Pia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
11 | AVS | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 7 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |