Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AVS | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.55% ( 0.05) | 27.15% ( 0.01) | 43.3% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% ( -0.03) | 56.36% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.62% ( -0.02) | 77.38% ( 0.01) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% ( 0.03) | 34.34% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% ( 0.03) | 71.04% ( -0.04) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% ( -0.05) | 25.8% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -0.06) | 60.76% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
AVS | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.55% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
3 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
14 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |