Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
41.28% ( 0.13) | 26.18% ( 0.05) | 32.54% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.49% ( -0.26) | 51.51% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% ( -0.23) | 73.31% ( 0.23) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( -0.05) | 24.66% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( -0.07) | 59.18% ( 0.08) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% ( -0.24) | 29.73% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% ( -0.3) | 65.79% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |