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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Goncalves (30'), Gyokeres (45+3', 49')
Trincao (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oliveira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Guimaraes
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 While Sporting's midweek victory was not the prettiest, Os Leoes are a different beast at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Indeed, Vitoria cannot be underestimated, but we feel they will be no match for the hosts in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 10.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
74.55% (-0.328 -0.33) 14.75% (0.201 0.2) 10.7% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.378 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.7% (-0.657 -0.66)28.3% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.88% (-0.818 -0.82)49.12% (0.82100000000001 0.82)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.203 -0.2)6.43% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.93% (-0.565 -0.56)24.06% (0.568 0.57)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08% (-0.266 -0.27)37.92% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31% (-0.261 -0.26)74.69% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 74.55%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 10.7%
    Draw 14.75%
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.146 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.14% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.184 0.18)
4-0 @ 5.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.59% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 3.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 74.55%
1-1 @ 6.49% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.095 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 14.75%
1-2 @ 3.14% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.36% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 10.7%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon
87.1%
Draw
9.7%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Guimaraes
3-2
Sporting Lisbon
Silva (45+7' pen.), Silva (73'), Silva (80')
Mangas (27'), Carlos (89'), Silva (90+4')
Inacio (42'), Santos (77')
Esgaio (17'), Neto (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Guimaraes
0-2
Sporting Lisbon
Goncalves (47'), Arthur (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Guimaraes
Edwards (34', 55'), Morita (40')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Estupinan (23')
Fernandes (26'), Mumin (27'), Silva (39'), Varela (45')
Pepa (28')
Sarabia (45+1' pen.), Paulinho (70'), Edwards (90+8')
Santos (51'), Esgaio (54')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Guimaraes
Coates (31')
Feddal (88'), Ugarte (90')

Silva (23'), Borevkovic (25')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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