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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Stoke City |
37.84% (![]() | 26.01% (![]() | 36.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.77% (![]() | 50.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.81% (![]() | 72.18% (![]() |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% (![]() | 25.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.1% (![]() | 60.9% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.13% (![]() | 26.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.82% (![]() | 62.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.4% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.35% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 66 | 19 | 47 | 69 |
3 | Burnley | 33 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 30 | 65 |
4 | Sunderland | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 62 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 51 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Coventry CityCoventry | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 47 |
8 | Bristol City | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 46 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Watford | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 44 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 44 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
14 | Millwall | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 41 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 38 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 |
18 | Portsmouth | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 36 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 35 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
21 | Hull City | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 30 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 29 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
24 | Luton TownLuton | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 27 |
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