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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 33.43% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.16%).
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Stoke City |
40.93% ( 0.58) | 25.64% ( -0.12) | 33.43% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.97% ( 0.4) | 49.02% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.89% ( 0.36) | 71.1% ( -0.36) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( 0.47) | 23.73% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.14% ( 0.68) | 57.86% ( -0.68) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.06% ( -0.09) | 27.93% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.44% ( -0.12) | 63.56% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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