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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Stoke logo

Portsmouth
3 - 1
Stoke

Bishop (5' pen.), Lang (9'), Ogilvie (49')
Pack (13'), Atkinson (31')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wilmot (27')
Seko (33'), Baker (56'), Lowe (79'), Johansson (90+2'), Burger (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 18 at 3.35pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Stoke City

Portsmouth will be targeting another home win after winning five of their last six matches at Fratton Park, but we think that they may have to settle for a point when they face a Stoke side that have drawn each of their previous three games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawStoke City
37.84% (0.925 0.93) 26.01% (0.029 0.03) 36.15% (-0.955 -0.95)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.152 -0.15)50.22% (0.15 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.135 -0.14)72.18% (0.134 0.13)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.45 0.45)25.91% (-0.45 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.603 0.6)60.9% (-0.604 -0.6)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.62 -0.62)26.87% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.823 -0.82)62.18% (0.823 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 37.84%
    Stoke City 36.15%
    Draw 26%
PortsmouthDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.176 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.117 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.84%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Stoke

Portsmouth
55.3%
Draw
24.7%
Stoke City
20.0%
85
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Stoke
6-1
Portsmouth
Cannon (13', 43', 48' pen., 51'), Gallagher (45+1'), Moran (54')
Moran (55'), Bae (73')
O'Mahony (29')
Lane (26')
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Stoke
3-0
Portsmouth
Walters (16', 47'), Crouch (90')
Adam (85')
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Nov 22, 2009 3pm
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Stoke
2-2
Portsmouth
Beattie (80', 78' pen.)
Lawrence (58')
Shawcross (90' og.), Kranjcar (75')
Hreidarsson (58'), Johnson (77'), Davis (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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