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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sunderland

Stoke
1 - 0
Sunderland

Cannon (90+2')
Phillips (16'), Gooch (21'), Moran (27'), Johansson (43'), Cannon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cirkin (51'), Bellingham (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Leeds
Thursday, December 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Sunderland
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Sunderland

Sunderland's mixed record away from home suggests that they could encounter difficulties on Sunday, but it is difficult to see them dropping points against an under pressure Stoke City side. The hosts are in poor form and while they might at times pose a challenge to the visitors, they are unlikely to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
31.5% (-4.891 -4.89) 26.42% (0.118 0.12) 42.08% (4.776 4.78)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-1.408 -1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-1.34 -1.34)52.8% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-1.154 -1.15)74.43% (1.157 1.16)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-3.767 -3.77)31.08% (3.769 3.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-4.642 -4.64)67.4% (4.644 4.64)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (1.961 1.96)24.83% (-1.959 -1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (2.656 2.66)59.41% (-2.656 -2.66)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 31.5%
    Sunderland 42.08%
    Draw 26.42%
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.478 -0.48)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.776 -0.78)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.893 -0.89)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.652 -0.65)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.613 -0.61)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.321 -0.32)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.5%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.75% (1.113 1.11)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.514 0.51)
0-2 @ 7.49% (1.142 1.14)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.448 0.45)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.691 0.69)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.225 0.23)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.294 0.29)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.08%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sunderland

Stoke City
23.4%
Draw
15.6%
Sunderland
60.9%
64
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sunderland
2-1
Stoke
Watson (7', 86')
Koumas (6')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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