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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Stoke

Watson (7', 86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koumas (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Sunderland
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke City

This could turn into a tense game between two teams who are gradually losing confidence in getting wins on the board. However, Sunderland have more reason to throw caution to the wind and it may lead to them delivering a late victory at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
47.78% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.81% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.067999999999998 0.07)52.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.056999999999999 0.06)74.32% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (0.036000000000001 0.04)55.39% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.18% (0.054999999999993 0.05)34.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.54% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 47.77%
    Stoke City 26.45%
    Draw 25.76%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
Stoke City
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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