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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Sunderland |
32.92% ( 0.45) | 29.43% ( 0.6) | 37.64% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 43.48% ( -1.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.58% ( -1.92) | 63.42% ( 1.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.23% ( -1.4) | 82.77% ( 1.4) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.38% ( -0.71) | 35.62% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% ( -0.74) | 72.39% ( 0.73) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.54% ( -1.63) | 32.46% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.02% ( -1.87) | 68.98% ( 1.87) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.05% Total : 32.92% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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