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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Oxford United

Sunderland
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Bellingham (16'), Isidor (63')
Mepham (23'), Isidor (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Scarlett (51'), Sibley (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Oxford United

With Oxford proving difficult to beat of late, they will fancy their chances of continuing their unbeaten run in the North-East. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Black Cats, whose extra quality in the final third may lead to them prevailing by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawOxford United
52.12% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2) 24.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 23.77% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-0.116 -0.12)48.13% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (-0.106 -0.11)70.29% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.119 -0.12)18.44% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.204 -0.2)49.62% (0.209 0.21)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.64% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.065000000000001 0.07)71.36% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.12%
    Oxford United 23.77%
    Draw 24.11%
SunderlandDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Oxford Utd

Sunderland
72.6%
Draw
17.9%
Oxford United
9.5%
84
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Oxford Utd
1-2
Sunderland
Moore (35')
Evans (16'), Embleton (89')
Matete (73'), Cirkin (81')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sunderland
1-1
Oxford Utd
Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')
Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Sunderland
3-1
Oxford Utd
Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')
Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
0-2
Sunderland

Kelly (41')
O'Nien (47'), Gooch (82')
Power (24')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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