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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Burnley |
50.61% ( -0.01) | 24.39% ( 0.03) | 25% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.76% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.83% ( -0.15) | 48.17% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.67% ( -0.14) | 70.33% ( 0.14) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% ( -0.06) | 19.05% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.37% ( -0.1) | 50.64% ( 0.11) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.4% ( -0.09) | 33.6% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.76% ( -0.11) | 70.25% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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