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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Stoke logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tchamadeu (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Preston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 2-2 Stoke City

Oxford will head into this contest with every expectation that they will make it three successive wins at the Kassam Stadium. However, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils in what we anticipate being an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawStoke City
30.88% (-0.202 -0.2) 25.06% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 44.06% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (0.102 0.1)47.32% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.55% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)28.75% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.102 -0.1)64.58% (0.101 0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (0.15400000000001 0.15)21.49% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.238 0.24)54.54% (-0.239 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 30.88%
    Stoke City 44.06%
    Draw 25.06%
Oxford UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.06%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Stoke

Oxford United
39.1%
Draw
23.9%
Stoke City
37.0%
46
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland86021661018
2Burnley85211441017
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd8530103716
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom8512126616
5Leeds UnitedLeeds8431135815
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn8431149515
7Middlesbrough842295414
8Watford84131213-113
9Hull City8332129312
10Norwich CityNorwich83321210212
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd83231210211
12Swansea CitySwansea832386211
13Bristol City8242913-410
14Stoke CityStoke83051012-29
15Derby CountyDerby83051012-29
16Millwall8224121118
17Coventry CityCoventry8224911-28
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth8224812-48
19Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds8224914-58
20Luton TownLuton8224813-58
21Preston North EndPreston8224712-58
22Queens Park RangersQPR8143914-57
23Portsmouth8044819-114
24Cardiff CityCardiff8116317-144


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