Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Oxford United has a probability of 31.08% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).