MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 03:32:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
3 - 0
Stoke

Kayembe (47', 73'), Andrews (49')
Issouf Bayo (31'), Sierralta (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson (55'), Laurent (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Watford 2-1 Stoke City

Scoring on eight occasions during their first two matches of the season, Watford have hit the ground running under the permanent stewardship of Cleverley. Stoke have been rock solid on their return to competitive action, but we feel that the Potters will suffer their maiden loss of the season at Vicarage Road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
30.17% (-0.087 -0.09) 26.15% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 43.69% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (-0.18 -0.18)52.2% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (-0.158 -0.16)73.91% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (-0.158 -0.16)31.71% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.183 -0.18)68.13% (0.184 0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)57.9% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Watford 30.17%
    Stoke City 43.68%
    Draw 26.14%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.17%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.68%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
Draw
Stoke City
Watford
73.5%
Draw
2.9%
Stoke City
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Watford
1-1
Stoke
Livermore (15')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
Mmaee (34')
Tchamadeu (14')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stoke
1-0
Watford
Vidigal (53')
McNally (29'), Wesley (52'), Thompson (77'), Johnson (83')

Kone (60')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Stoke
Louza (70'), Davis (74')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Burnley382115252114178
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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