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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sunderland

Watford
1 - 0
Sunderland

Andrews (64')
Kayembe (10'), Lewis (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Nien (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Sunderland

Wins have been in short supply for both teams of late and we certainly do not expect many goals in this contest. Both teams may feel content not to suffer defeat, leading us to predict a dull stalemate at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSunderland
39.87% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 26.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 33.91% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.38% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.041 0.04)73.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)28.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (0.055 0.05)64.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 39.87%
    Sunderland 33.91%
    Draw 26.21%
WatfordDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.91%

How you voted: Watford vs Sunderland

Watford
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Sunderland
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Sunderland
2-0
Watford
Huggins (43'), Ba (62')
Burstow (50')

Ngakia (27'), Dele-Bashiru (58'), Bachmann (74'), Louza (74'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (87')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Sunderland
2-2
Watford
O'Nien (70'), Roberts (90+5')
Kabasele (17'), Porteous (69')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
2-2
Sunderland
Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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