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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Watford |
47.78% ( 0.23) | 25.7% ( -0.07) | 26.52% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.64% ( 0.18) | 52.36% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.95% ( 0.16) | 74.05% ( -0.15) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( 0.18) | 21.92% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% ( 0.27) | 55.19% ( -0.27) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.41% ( -0.03) | 34.59% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.69% ( -0.03) | 71.31% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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