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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
44.38% ( 0.13) | 26.21% ( -0.02) | 29.41% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% ( 0.02) | 52.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.57% ( 0.02) | 74.42% ( -0.02) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% ( 0.07) | 23.68% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( 0.1) | 57.79% ( -0.1) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( -0.07) | 32.58% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% ( -0.08) | 69.11% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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