We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Birmingham City
QPR fans will be demanding a massive response following Tuesday's disastrous showing against Blackpool, knowing that one more win will probably be enough to secure their Championship safety.
Birmingham come into this game knowing a victory for them will likely do the same, and we expect a hard-fought contest at Loftus Road on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.