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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
QPR logo

Rotherham
3 - 1
QPR

Hugill (15', 70' pen.), Odofin (90')
Hugill (34'), Harding (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lowe (83' pen.)
Adomah (42'), Field (49'), Dickie (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Blackburn
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

QPR are lacking any real confidence and missing several key players, and even though Ainsworth will hope to lift his new side with a much-needed result, we see them falling short away at a Rotherham side who have impressed in South Yorkshire this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
38.35% (0.26 0.26) 27.08% (-0.129 -0.13) 34.56% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.52% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.489 0.49)54.81% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.402 0.4)76.12% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.383 0.38)27.77% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (0.487 0.49)63.35% (-0.488 -0.49)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (0.15899999999999 0.16)30.06% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (0.191 0.19)66.19% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 38.35%
    Queens Park Rangers 34.56%
    Draw 27.08%
Rotherham UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.56%

How you voted: Rotherham vs QPR

Rotherham United
60.0%
Draw
35.0%
Queens Park Rangers
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
QPR
1-1
Rotherham
Willock (43')
Dickie (29'), Dozzell (64'), Field (74')
Ogbene (33')
Humphreys (64'), Johansson (90+5')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
QPR
1-1
Rotherham
QPR win 8-7 on penalties
Dykes (115')
Johansen (16')
Ihiekwe (98')
Lindsay (99'), Harding (110')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Rotherham
3-1
QPR
Ladapo (64', 66'), Smith (90')
MacDonald (38'), MacDonald (41'), Smith (70'), Wood (75')
Dykes (52')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
QPR
3-2
Rotherham
Chair (20'), Osayi-Samuel (45+1'), Dykes (45+3' pen.)
Smith (38'), Ladapo (84')
Wiles (45+2'), Ihiekwe (80'), Crooks (90+1')
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
QPR
1-2
Rotherham
Osayi-Samuel (85')
Bidwell (43'), Furlong (94')
Ajayi (71', 95')
Mattock (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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