Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 35.32% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Lyon win is 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.97%).
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
40.67% ( -1.43) | 24% ( -0.32) | 35.32% ( 1.76) |
Both teams to score 61.2% ( 1.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( 1.94) | 41.11% ( -1.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% ( 1.94) | 63.5% ( -1.94) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( 0.16) | 20.42% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% ( 0.26) | 52.86% ( -0.26) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( 1.89) | 23.09% ( -1.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.07% ( 2.7) | 56.93% ( -2.7) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.64) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.93% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.43) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |