MX23RW : Monday, January 13 05:23:43| >> :120:21489:21489:
Marseille
Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 14, 2025 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille

Marseille
vs.
Lille

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Marseille
Saturday, January 11 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Lille
Friday, January 10 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

We say: Marseille 2-1 Lille

 The competition's format of penalties following normal time means Marseille will want to finish the tie in 90 minutes to avoid another shoot-out after consecutive disappointments in 2023 and last year. Backed by the home support, De Zerbi's free-scoring side should eke out a close victory over Lille to end the away side's 19-match unbeaten sequence and Les Olympiens' four-game streak without beating Tuesday's opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Lille has a probability of 32.01% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lille win is 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
42.2% (-1.344 -1.34) 25.78% (0.779 0.78) 32.01% (0.556 0.56)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-2.372 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-3.186 -3.19)49.99% (3.175 3.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-2.91 -2.91)71.97% (2.899 2.9)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (-2.011 -2.01)23.52% (2 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (-2.993 -2.99)57.55% (2.982 2.98)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-1.219 -1.22)29.32% (1.207 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-1.516 -1.52)65.29% (1.504 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 42.2%
    Lille 32.02%
    Draw 25.77%
MarseilleDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.688 0.69)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.321 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.2%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.45 0.45)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.846 0.85)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.784 0.78)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.319 0.32)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.02%

Who will win Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Marseille and Lille?

Marseille
Draw
Lille
Marseille
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lille
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 15
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Merlin (17')
Hojbjerg (86'), De Zerbi (90+5')
Lirola (90+5')
Diakite (87')
Diakite (63'), Andre (90+2'), Gomes (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Lille
3-1
Marseille
David (54' pen.), Cabella (71'), Gudmundsson (84')
Santos (21')
Ismaily (81')
Harit (27'), Gigot (52'), Merlin (57'), Kondogbia (70'), Balerdi (77'), Veretout (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Marseille
0-0
Lille
Harit (42'), Gigot (53')
Andre (27'), Bentaleb (70'), Yazici (73')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
2-1
Marseille
David (50' pen.), Bamba (72')
Andre (57'), Bamba (73'), Bayo (85')
Clauss (29')
Balerdi (37'), Rongier (55')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Ismaily (12')
> Preview
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