La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ponferradina 0-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 5 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey
Sunday, January 5 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Leganes 2-5 Villarreal
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Villarreal
This is a really tough match to call, and we are finding it difficult to separate them. There has not actually been a league draw between these two sides since January 2021, with each of the last six top-flight meetings producing a winner, but we have a feeling that the points will be shared on Monday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
43.3% ( 0.14) | 26.04% ( 0.18) | 30.65% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% ( -0.86) | 51.58% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% ( -0.75) | 73.38% ( 0.75) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( -0.31) | 23.67% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.22% ( -0.45) | 57.78% ( 0.45) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0.65) | 31.05% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.63% ( -0.77) | 67.37% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad 43.3%
Villarreal 30.65%
Draw 26.04%
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.65% |
How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Villarreal
Real Sociedad
44.2%Draw
30.1%Villarreal
25.8%163
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 5.30pm
Oct 9, 2022 5.30pm
Form Guide
