Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Betis |
39.46% ( 0.55) | 26.97% ( -0.05) | 33.57% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 50.7% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.49% ( 0.14) | 54.51% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.14% ( 0.12) | 75.86% ( -0.11) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 0.37) | 27% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( 0.48) | 62.35% ( -0.49) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% ( -0.25) | 30.55% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% ( -0.3) | 66.78% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.46% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |