Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.