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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lazio logo

Lecce
1 - 2
Lazio

Morente (50')
Dorgu (69'), Rebic (71'), Ramadani (90')
Guilbert (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castellanos (45+3' pen.), Marusic (87')
Tchaouna (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Monza
Sunday, December 15 at 11.30am in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-6 Inter Milan
Monday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-3 Lazio

 Lazio have both won and lost half of their Serie A away games this season, but they are more than capable of improving that record at Lecce's expense. Responding to an awful collapse on Monday, Marco Baroni can get the better of his old club and boost the Biancocelesti's push for a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawLazio
23.2% (-0.845 -0.84) 25.6% (-0.443 -0.44) 51.19% (1.288 1.29)
Both teams to score 48.2% (0.371 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44% (0.935 0.94)54.56% (-0.934 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.09% (0.771 0.77)75.9% (-0.77 -0.77)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-0.268 -0.27)38.72% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.256 -0.26)75.46% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.944 0.94)21.34% (-0.943 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (1.434 1.43)54.31% (-1.434 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 23.2%
    Lazio 51.19%
    Draw 25.6%
LecceDrawLazio
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.2%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 12.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 9.86% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.35% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.242 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.81% (0.196 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.96% (0.145 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.19%

How you voted: Lecce vs Lazio

Lecce
15.3%
Draw
20.8%
Lazio
63.9%
72
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Lazio
1-0
Lecce
Anderson (58')
Zaccagni (45'), Guendouzi (77'), Vecino (89'), Immobile (90+3')

Gendrey (45'), Venuti (75'), Ramadani (81'), Pongracic (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Almqvist (85'), Di Francesco (87')
Espeto (68'), Gonzalez (80'), Pongracic (80')
Immobile (26')
Isaksen (71'), Pellegrini (90+4')
> Preview
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-2
Lecce
Immobile (34'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')
Oudin (45+2', 51')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Espeto (57'), Colombo (71')
Immobile (14')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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