Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce2 - 1Monza
We said: Lecce 1-2 Monza
Crosses and set-pieces could play a part in this game's outcome, as Monza have conceded the most headed goals in Serie A (eight), with Lecce lying joint-second (six) in those rankings. The visitors' wait for a win may come to its end, as their hosts are still unstable at the back and are by far the lowest scorers in Italy's top flight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
35.86% ( 2.49) | 26.67% ( 0.75) | 37.48% ( -3.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
