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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen |
50.68% ( -0.01) | 24.18% ( -0.08) | 25.14% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.56% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.83% ( 0.42) | 47.17% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.59% ( 0.39) | 69.4% ( -0.39) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.36% ( 0.16) | 18.63% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.06% ( 0.27) | 49.94% ( -0.27) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( 0.3) | 32.94% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.47% ( 0.33) | 69.52% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 50.68% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 48 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Feyenoord | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 36 |
6 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Groningen | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |