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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 77.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 7.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (11.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
77.38% ( -0.05) | 15.08% ( 0.02) | 7.54% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 41.98% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.63% ( 0.03) | 41.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.23% ( 0.03) | 63.77% ( -0.03) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.15% ( -0) | 8.84% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.7% ( -0.01) | 30.3% ( 0.01) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.06% ( 0.1) | 53.94% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.76% ( 0.06) | 87.24% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 14.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 77.37% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 15.08% | 0-1 @ 2.95% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 7.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |