Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Euroborg
We said: Groningen 0-1 Willem II
Groningen have experienced a major drop-off in recent weeks, losing seven of their last eight matches, while failing to score in four of their last five, including in two of their last three games on their home patch.
Willem II, meanwhile, are gunning a third match unbeaten after a morale-boosting comeback against NAC Breda last week, and we feel they will be able to edge the hosts to a narrow victory in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.66% . A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 23.53% .
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.49%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%) , while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.29%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result Groningen Draw Willem II 51.66% ( 0.16) 24.81% ( -0.01) 23.53% ( -0.15)
Both teams to score 50.9% ( -0.14)
48.81% ( -0.11) 51.18% ( 0.11)
26.97% ( -0.1) 73.03% ( 0.09)
80.19% ( 0.02) 19.8% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.13% ( 0.03) 51.87% ( -0.04)
63.46% ( -0.2) 36.53% ( 0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.68% ( -0.2) 73.32% ( 0.19)
Groningen 51.65%
Willem II 23.53%
Draw 24.8%
Groningen Draw Willem II 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.65% 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.8% 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.53%
How you voted: Groningen vs Willem II
9
rhs 2.0
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