MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 21:43:04| >> :120:10738:10738:
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 22, 2025 at 8pm UK
Epet Arena
Inter logo

Sparta Prague
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Olatunji (52'), Krasniqi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (12')
Dumfries (6'), Asllani (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sparta Prague and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sparta Prague 0-2 Inter Milan

Sparta Prague have spent 60% of their Champions League games trailing this season, while Inter have been behind for less than 1% of theirs so far. That demonstrates the gulf between the two sides, so Italy's reigning champions should stroll to maximum points and eliminate their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Sparta PragueDrawInter Milan
16.21% (-0.186 -0.19) 20.2% (-0.109 -0.11) 63.58% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 53.66% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.45% (0.149 0.15)41.54% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.05% (0.151 0.15)63.94% (-0.151 -0.15)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.26% (-0.138 -0.14)38.73% (0.13999999999999 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (-0.132 -0.13)75.47% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.58% (0.129 0.13)12.41% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.68% (0.27 0.27)38.31% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 16.21%
    Inter Milan 63.58%
    Draw 20.2%
Sparta PragueDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.56% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-1 @ 4.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.2%
0-2 @ 10.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.28% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.9% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.8% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.6% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.58% (0.028 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.5% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 63.58%

How you voted: Sparta Prague vs Inter Milan

Sparta Prague
Draw
Inter Milan
Sparta Prague
8.3%
Draw
6.9%
Inter Milan
84.8%
145
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2016 8.05pm
Group Stage
Inter Milan
2-1
Sparta Prague
Eder (23', 90')
Ranocchia (73')
Marecek (54')
Sep 29, 2016 6pm
Group Stage
Sparta Prague
3-1
Inter Milan
Kadlec (7', 25'), Holek (76')
Frydek (58'), Julis (78'), Kadlec (80'), Pulkrab (92')
Palacio (72')
Ranocchia (46')
Ranocchia (75')
rhs 2.0
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