Supercoppa Italiana | Final
Jan 6, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium
Inter Milan2 - 3AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Thursday, January 2 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Thursday, January 2 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Juventus 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, January 3 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Friday, January 3 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan
One extra day of rest for Inter could prove crucial, as they already have a deeper squad than their city rivals and come into this final in much better form. Milan are still brittle, with several players operating below their best, so the black-and-blue side of the city should celebrate a record-equalling Supercoppa number nine. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
| 53.65% | 23.42% | 22.93% |
| Both teams to score 54.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% | 46.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% | 68.32% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% | 17.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.72% | 47.27% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% | 34.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.07% | 70.92% |
| Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 53.65%
AC Milan 22.93%
Draw 23.41%
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.88% Total : 53.65% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.16% Total : 22.93% |
How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2
Winner Semi-final 1
73.7%Draw
14.7%Winner Semi-final 2
11.5%156
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Sep 16, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
5-1
AC Milan
Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
May 16, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
May 10, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
