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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa logo

AC Milan
0 - 0
Genoa

FT

Vogliacco (22'), Zanoli (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Red Star
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, December 7 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Genoa

Although Genoa have shown signs of improvement, they still lack options across the final third, meaning Milan can continue their trend of keeping Serie A clean sheets at San Siro. The hosts are not all singing from the same hymn sheet - and their coach is apparently treading on thin ice - but they possess enough nous to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
75.03% (0.262 0.26) 15.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9.19% (-0.255 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-1.109 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-0.856 -0.86)38.76% (0.85899999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-0.90900000000001 -0.91)61.07% (0.911 0.91)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24% (-0.149 -0.15)8.76% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.91% (-0.36500000000001 -0.37)30.09% (0.367 0.37)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.71% (-1.129 -1.13)48.29% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.56% (-0.833 -0.83)83.44% (0.83499999999999 0.83)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 75%
    Genoa 9.19%
    Draw 15.78%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.33 0.33)
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.335 0.33)
3-0 @ 10.17% (0.191 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 6.2% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
5-0 @ 3.02% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.087 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 75%
1-1 @ 7.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.78%
0-1 @ 3.08% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 9.19%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
84.1%
Draw
11.6%
Genoa
4.3%
69
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 35
AC Milan
3-3
Genoa
Florenzi (45'), Gabbia (72'), Giroud (75')
Reijnders (43')
Retegui (5' pen.), Ekuban (48'), Thiaw (87' og.)
Vasquez (90+4')
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan

Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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