Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.