Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.