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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Birmingham logo

Crawley
0 - 1
Birmingham


John-Jules (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (79')
Klarer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-3 Birmingham City

Birmingham will be full of confidence after winning each of their last six competitive matches, and as one of the strongest teams in the division, we think that they will claim a relatively comfortable win against Crawley to move to the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBirmingham City
13.7% (-0.694 -0.69) 17.76% (0.246 0.25) 68.54% (0.449 0.45)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-3.038 -3.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.65% (-2.929 -2.93)35.34% (2.93 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.62% (-3.324 -3.32)57.37% (3.325 3.33)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84% (-2.876 -2.88)38.15% (2.878 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08% (-2.882 -2.88)74.92% (2.883 2.88)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.61% (-0.667 -0.67)9.38% (0.668 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.42% (-1.604 -1.6)31.58% (1.605 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 13.7%
    Birmingham City 68.54%
    Draw 17.76%
Crawley TownDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 3.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 3.45% (0.246 0.25)
2-0 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 13.7%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.505 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.76%
0-2 @ 10.02% (0.868 0.87)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.121 0.12)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.969 0.97)
0-3 @ 7.91% (0.461 0.46)
1-3 @ 7.62% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.135 0.14)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.17% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-5 @ 2.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 68.54%

How you voted: Crawley vs Birmingham

Crawley Town
11.1%
Draw
10.0%
Birmingham City
78.9%
90
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Birmingham
5-1
Crawley
Adams (27', 42', 66'), Davis (38'), Tesche (49')
Camara (86')
Payne (43'), Clifford (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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