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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Cardiff City logo

Leeds
7 - 0
Cardiff

Aaronson (6'), Solomon (13'), James (50'), Piroe (65' pen., 90+5'), Gnonto (67'), Fernandez (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rinomhota (44'), O'Dowda (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Leeds
Monday, January 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Derby
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Cardiff City

Cardiff City do head into the weekend with renewed confidence and momentum, but few sides have managed to compete at Elland Road this season, and we back Leeds United to again show their superior quality at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 75.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 8.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.7%) and 3-0 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
75.42% (0.40900000000001 0.41) 16.37% (-0.161 -0.16) 8.22% (-0.247 -0.25)
Both teams to score 40.81% (-0.557 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.116 -0.12)44.85% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.111 -0.11)67.21% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.81% (0.073000000000008 0.07)10.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.53% (0.16800000000001 0.17)33.47% (-0.167 -0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.44% (-0.66 -0.66)54.56% (0.659 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.38% (-0.403 -0.4)87.62% (0.40300000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 75.41%
    Cardiff City 8.22%
    Draw 16.37%
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 14.5% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 11.03% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.3% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.88% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.1% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 75.41%
1-1 @ 7.7% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.66% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 16.37%
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 2.33% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 8.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Cardiff

Leeds United
74.6%
Draw
11.9%
Cardiff City
13.4%
67
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff
0-2
Leeds

Siopis (16'), Ng (38')
Bagan (23')
Ramazani (30'), Piroe (87')
Bogle (40'), Gruev (83')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
0-3
Leeds

Ng (45+2')
Bamford (13'), James (31'), Rutter (88')
Gruev (74')
Aug 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Leeds
2-2
Cardiff
Cooper (49'), Summerville (90+5')
Ampadu (90+3'), Summerville (90+6')
Bowler (23'), Ugbo (39')
Meite (70')
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Leeds
5-2
Cardiff
Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Robinson (84', 90+3')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds422513482295388
2Burnley422416257134488
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd42267957332483
4Sunderland422113857381976
5Bristol City421616105445964
6Coventry CityCoventry42189155954563
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4214181051391260
8Middlesbrough421791661511060
9Millwall421612144141060
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn42168184545056
11Watford42168185055-556
12Swansea CitySwansea42159184551-654
13Norwich CityNorwich421314156358553
14Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds421411175664-853
15Queens Park RangersQPR421214164955-650
16Preston North EndPreston421019134351-849
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd421212184360-1748
18Stoke CityStoke421114174354-1147
19Portsmouth421210205066-1646
20Hull City421112194150-945
21Derby CountyDerby421110214454-1043
22Cardiff CityCardiff42915184566-2142
23Luton TownLuton421010223763-2640
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42913204482-3840


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