Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
21.21% ( -0) | 22.65% | 56.14% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.7% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.33% ( -0) | 44.68% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.96% ( -0) | 67.04% ( 0) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.91% ( -0) | 35.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.16% ( -0) | 71.84% ( 0) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.27% ( 0) | 15.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.17% ( 0) | 44.83% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 5.78% 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.21% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
> Championship Full Table |