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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Leeds logo

Cardiff
0 - 3
Leeds


Ng (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bamford (13'), James (31'), Rutter (88')
Gruev (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Leeds United

On the back of last week's debacle at Hillsborough, Cardiff may benefit from playing in such a high-profile fixture. Nevertheless, the superior quality comes from Leeds' ranks, and we feel that the visitors will edge this contest courtesy of a fast start to proceedings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
29.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.83% (0.0019999999999989 0) 45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 52.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63%51.37% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.47% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 29.17%
    Leeds United 45%
    Draw 25.83%
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Leeds

Cardiff City
16.7%
Draw
9.5%
Leeds United
73.8%
42
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Leeds
2-2
Cardiff
Cooper (49'), Summerville (90+5')
Ampadu (90+3'), Summerville (90+6')
Bowler (23'), Ugbo (39')
Meite (70')
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Leeds
5-2
Cardiff
Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Robinson (84', 90+3')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
Jun 21, 2020 12pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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