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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Ipswich logo

Leeds
4 - 0
Ipswich

Struijk (8'), Davis (25' og.), Summerville (45' pen.), Piroe (52')
James (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Clarke (29'), Tuanzebe (60'), Broadhead (65'), Ball (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Ipswich Town

We certainly anticipate a tight and high-quality encounter at Elland Road on Saturday between two of the Championship's standout sides and cannot quite pick a winner. Given the 10-point gap between them, it is Leeds who really require a victory, but Kieran McKenna's men should have what it takes to leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
50.44% (-0.196 -0.2) 22.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 26.7% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.56% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07% (0.11 0.11)39.93% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.7% (0.113 0.11)62.29% (-0.119 -0.12)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)16.01% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.052 -0.05)45.34% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.19 0.19)27.89% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.244 0.24)63.5% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.44%
    Ipswich Town 26.7%
    Draw 22.86%
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.7%

How you voted: Leeds vs Ipswich

Leeds United
55.6%
Draw
15.9%
Ipswich Town
28.6%
63
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Ipswich
3-4
Leeds
Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')
Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Ipswich
3-2
Leeds
Downes (30'), Dozzell (47'), Quaner (90')
Jackson (75'), Nsiala (84')
Chambers (79')
Klich (45'), Dallas (76')
Casilla (28')
Oct 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Leeds
2-0
Ipswich
Roofe (22'), Cooper (66')
Berardi (15')

Nolan (5'), Downes (31'), Knudsen (50')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Leeds
Celina (67')
Connolly (55'), Iorfa (60')

Jansson (80'), Phillips (87')
O'Kane (37')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-2
Ipswich
Lasogga (13'), Phillips (32'), Bialkowski (67' og.)
Cooper (72')
McGoldrick (30'), Garner (71')
Spence (3'), Knudsen (37')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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