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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Ipswich logo

Watford
1 - 2
Ipswich

Asprilla (12')
Kayembe (46'), Issouf Bayo (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hirst (24'), Morsy (80')
Chaplin (39'), Hirst (45'), Luongo (53'), Hutchinson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich kept their first clean sheet in nine matches last time out, but we cannot imagine them making it successive shutouts on Tuesday night. Another one of the division's big hitters arrives at Vicarage Road in midweek, and we feel that Watford will be unable to stop the Ipswich juggernaut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
44.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.27% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.65% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.98% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.8% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)27.68% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)63.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.04%
    Ipswich Town 31.24%
    Draw 24.71%
WatfordDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Watford vs Ipswich

Watford
16.7%
Draw
7.4%
Ipswich Town
75.9%
54
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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