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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
18.08% ( 2.55) | 22.08% ( 1.33) | 59.84% ( -3.87) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( 1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% ( -1.3) | 46.59% ( 1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.14% ( -1.23) | 68.86% ( 1.23) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.49% ( 2.38) | 39.51% ( -2.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.8% ( 2.14) | 76.2% ( -2.14) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% ( -1.63) | 15.16% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.24% ( -3.16) | 43.76% ( 3.16) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.13% Total : 18.08% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.3) Other @ 1% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.65% ( -0.68) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.7% ( -0.86) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.35) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.62) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.32) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.41% Total : 59.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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