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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Ipswich
3 - 2
Plymouth

Mumba (45+1' og.), Hirst (54'), Harness (86')
Luongo (32'), Woolfenden (66'), Williams (68'), Edmundson (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Whittaker (7'), Edwards (90+1')
Miller (28'), Mumba (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Ipswich
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth certainly showed last season that they can compete with Kieran McKenna's Ipswich side, but the hosts have stepped up to a new level this term, and we cannot envisage the Pilgrims derailing their momentum, particularly at Portman Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
66.4% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04) 18.05% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 15.54% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.07% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)32.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.82% (0.038000000000004 0.04)54.18% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87%9.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.03%30.96%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)33.9% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.068999999999999 0.07)70.57% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 66.4%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.54%
    Draw 18.05%
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.05%
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.54%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth

Ipswich Town
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Plymouth Argyle
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Ipswich
1-1
Plymouth
Burns (63')
Mumba (90+3')
Sep 25, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Mumba (69'), Whittaker (75')
Ladapo (39')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Ipswich
1-0
Plymouth
Morsy (37')
Morsy (28'), Burns (63')

Crichlow (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Jephcott (44'), Grant (50')
Garrick (75')
Edmundson (14')
Edmundson (22'), Chaplin (26'), Morsy (56'), Nsiala (75')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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