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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Ipswich
1 - 1
Plymouth

Burns (63')
Burns (11'), Hirst (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mumba (90+3')
Wilson (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 0-0 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth drew their last League One away game 0-0 against fifth-placed Bolton Wanderers, and so a similar result should be expected on Saturday, with very little separating the two teams. That result is likely to suit the visitors far more than the hosts, as it would maintain Argyle's seven-point lead over Ipswich, setting them up nicely for an easier game at home to Cheltenham next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.24% (0.194 0.19) 19.51% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 13.25% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.085999999999999 0.09)44.62% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)66.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (0.079999999999998 0.08)12.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (0.169 0.17)38.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.25% (-0.126 -0.13)44.75% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.26% (-0.104 -0.1)80.73% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 67.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 13.25%
    Draw 19.51%
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.22%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.51%
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 13.25%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth

Ipswich Town
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Plymouth Argyle
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Jephcott (44'), Grant (50')
Garrick (75')
Edmundson (14')
Edmundson (22'), Chaplin (26'), Morsy (56'), Nsiala (75')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Ipswich
Jephcott (14')
Mayor (52'), Nouble (71'), Watts (79')
Mayor (71')
Nolan (73'), Jackson (74')
McGavin (50'), Cornell (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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