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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.24% ( 0.19) | 19.51% ( -0.08) | 13.25% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.38% ( 0.09) | 44.62% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% ( 0.08) | 66.99% ( -0.09) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.69% ( 0.08) | 12.31% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.91% ( 0.17) | 38.09% ( -0.17) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.25% ( -0.13) | 44.75% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.26% ( -0.1) | 80.73% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 67.22% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.51% | 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 57 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
3 | Wrexham | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 42 |
7 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Reading | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 40 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 37 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 |
15 | Stevenage | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 34 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 32 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 21 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 21 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |