EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bristol Rovers0 - 2Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Plymouth Argyle
Bristol Rovers have been in very good form recently, but given that Plymouth Argyle are the highest-ranked side in the competition, it would be unwise to bet against them. Games involving the Pilgrims have not contained many goals as of late, so it would not be a surprise if the game went all the way to penalties in a stalemate, but we think that they will eke out a 1-0 victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
39.84% ( 0.46) | 24.18% ( 0.02) | 35.98% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.66% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
